Saturday, September 23, 2006

Whither Libby

One of the best websites in existence is Donald Luskin's Conspiracy to Keep You Poor and Stupid. One of the best features: the running tally from Tradesports, an overseas futures market, in which "shares" of future events happening are sold. The spectator's pleasure (and only spectating is advised; there's been some controversy as to payoffs), is achieving a rough consenus by people with enough confidence in their predictions to back them up with cash.

The first item on the list is "Libby convicted," which--since its first posting, a month ago--has gone from 48 percent down to 18 percent, a fair assessment of Prosecutor Fitzgerald's recent fortune.

Chances of a GOP House in 2007: 58 percent, up from the mid-thirties.

GOP Senate: 82 percent, mostly holding steady.

Just sayin'.

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